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The Morning Card — September 29, 2026

The analyst's record: 81–82 since 2026-09-01. Every pick grades in public.

Last night

No slate last night — league off day.

Tonight

4 games on the slate — the marquee: Phillies @ Braves at 2026-09-29T18:00:00.0000000+00:00.

This is a lefty duel built on matchup edges: Chris Sale (10.9 K/9) and Jesús Luzardo (11.1 K/9) have been the season's premier strikeout pitchers. That duel-driven angle is reflected in the market: Atlanta is a heavy -205 favorite and the 6.5 total points to modest scoring. Sale's career grip on Philadelphia is clear — he limits them to a .218 average — and that aligns with a Phillies skid (1-4) entering tonight. Luzardo has similarly suppressed Atlanta with a .226 opponent average, and Truist Park's pitcher-friendly layout (-6% runs) should amplify both starters' strikeout upside.

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