The Morning Card — October 1, 2026

The analyst's record: 82–85 since 2026-09-01. Every pick grades in public.

Last night

We went 0-2 last night for −2.0u, and the loss leads the ledger plainly. There were no wins to credit us; the worst miss came on Kevin Gausman Over 4.5 Ks @ -104 (actual 1), with Max Fried Under 5.5 Ks @ -120 (actual 6) also missing.

Max Fried — Under 5.5 Ks (-120): LOST
Kevin Gausman — Over 4.5 Ks (-104): LOST

Tonight

4 games on the slate — the marquee: Sox @ Astros at 2026-10-01T21:00:00.0000000+00:00.

Astros have slammed 37 runs recently, and Yordan Alvarez is riding a 13-game hitting streak that gives Houston a steady middle-of-order threat. That surge faces a real brake at Daikin Park, which plays pitcher-friendly (-4% runs), so raw scoring may be pared down. Isaac Paredes’ power surge — four homers over his last 10 games — supplies extra pop behind Alvarez. Still, the Sox have put up 31 runs recently and bring a hot lineup led by Chase Meidroth’s torrid stretch, so Houston’s offense should meet pushback even under the roof.

Watch list

Sox @ Yankees — Spencer Jones feasts on LHP — .386 against them vs .249 overall.

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