The Morning Card — October 24, 2026

The analyst's record: 84–94 since 2026-09-01. Every pick grades in public.

Last night

No graded picks from last night's slate.

Tonight

1 games on the slate — the marquee: Rays @ Brewers at 2026-10-25T00:00:00.0000000+00:00.

Drew Rasmussen has been dealing lately — a 1.10 ERA with a 10.2 K/9 over his last five starts makes his recent dominance the defining storyline. Even so, books peg Milwaukee the favorite at about -127 and a 6.5 total implies modest scoring. Rasmussen’s swing-and-miss stuff matters against a Brewers lineup that strikes out 23.6% versus righties this season. William Contreras is red-hot, and American Family Field’s indoor, pitcher-friendly profile, which boosts strikeouts and suppresses runs, amplifies how much Rasmussen’s stuff can control the game.

The angle

Drew Rasmussen — Under 6.5 Strikeouts (Rays @ Brewers, 2026-10-25T00:00:00.0000000+00:00)

The dome in Milwaukee adds a little bite to every fastball with a five percent strikeout bump, but this Brewers lineup doesn’t give you many easy punchouts — they strike out in 22 percent of trips against right-handers. Drew Rasmussen (Rays) has the power to miss bats — a career rate of 24.0 percent, 25.7 percent this season, 25.3 percent over his last ten — and he’s fully rested after six days with 95 pitches last time out. Even so, against this disciplined run of Brewers swings, give me Drew Rasmussen Under 6.5 strikeouts.

Prices: FanDuel -140

ERA 1.10 · K/9 10.2 · 13 Ks over his last 2 starts

More cards

← October 23, 2026 October 25, 2026 →

Nov 1 · Oct 31 · Oct 30 · Oct 29 · Oct 28 · Oct 27 · Oct 26 · Oct 25 · Oct 24 · Oct 23