The Morning Card — July 20, 2026

The analyst's record: 22–11–2 since 2026-07-16. Every pick grades in public.

Last night

The analyst went 3–6 for −2.9u last night. Best: Eury Perez Over 6.5 Ks (+113) cashed with 9. The miss: Eduardo Rodriguez Over 3.5 Ks (finished 3).

Eury Perez — Over 6.5 Ks (+113): WON
Nolan McLean — Over 6.5 Ks (+112): WON
Brandon Young — Over 4.5 Ks (-118): WON
Nathan Eovaldi — Over 5.5 Ks (-130): LOST
Noah Cameron — Over 4.5 Ks (-110): LOST
Foster Griffin — Over 5.5 Ks (+120): LOST
Casey Mize — Over 6 Ks (-137): LOST
Hunter Greene — Over 7.5 Ks (+126): LOST
Eduardo Rodriguez — Over 3.5 Ks (-155): LOST

Tonight

15 games on the slate — the marquee: Twins @ Guardians at 2026-07-20T22:40:00.0000000+00:00.

Luke Keaschall is red-hot, batting .414 over his last 10 games, and Chase DeLauter has driven a power surge with four homers in his last 10 — their recent bursts are the central storyline. That dynamic meets Progressive Field, which plays pitcher-friendly (-6% runs vs average), and a Guardians bullpen that has logged 0.0 relief innings over the last three days, leaving Cleveland unusually fresh late. Cleveland comes in 4-1 over its last five while Minnesota is 3-2, so the duel between those hot hitters and a rested home pen is the specific thing to watch.

Watch list

Twins @ Guardians — Joe Ryan has stifled Cleveland Guardians — limiting them to a .192 BAA over 293 plate appearances across 6 seasons. Regression Watch says the run doesn't predict.
Pirates @ Yankees — Ryan Weathers is dealing — 3.47 ERA with 11.2 K/9 over his last 5 starts. Regression Watch says the run doesn't predict.
Tigers @ Cubs — Jack Flaherty has dominated Chicago Cubs — .195 BAA with a 28% strikeout rate over 309 plate appearances across 8 seasons.

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