The Morning Card — July 29, 2026

The analyst's record: 72–66–2 since 2026-07-16. Every pick grades in public.

Last night

The analyst went 7–6 for +1.3u last night. Best: Logan Henderson Over 5.5 Ks (+116) cashed with 7. The miss: Cade Cavalli Over 4.5 Ks (finished 3).

Logan Henderson — Over 5.5 Ks (+116): WON
Michael King — Over 5.5 Ks (+108): WON
Gerrit Cole — Over 6.5 Ks (+105): WON
Griffin Jax — Over 5.5 Ks (+103): WON
Taj Bradley — Over 6.5 Ks (+100): WON
Peter Lambert — Over 5.5 Ks (+100): WON
Gage Jump — Over 5.5 Ks (-105): WON
Bubba Chandler — Over 3.5 Ks (-158): LOST
Colin Rea — Over 3.5 Ks (-110): LOST
Luis Castillo — Over 4.5 Ks (-120): LOST
Aaron Nola — Over 5.5 Ks (+126): LOST
Troy Melton — Over 5.5 Ks (-102): LOST
Cade Cavalli — Over 4.5 Ks (+121): LOST

Tonight

16 games on the slate — the marquee: Phillies @ Marlins at 2026-07-29T16:10:00.0000000+00:00.

Jesús Luzardo arrives in Miami riding a stretch of overpowering work — he averages 11.2 K/9 and carries a 3.60 ERA this season. That sets up a clear collision with Otto Lopez, who is scorching lefties this year, batting .394 in 99 at‑bats versus LHP. With the game under the roof at loanDepot Park and Miami managing just 17 runs in its last five games, Luzardo’s ability to miss barrels is the single thing to watch.

Watch list

Cubs @ Cardinals — Matthew Boyd has dominated St. Louis Cardinals — .190 BAA with a 32% strikeout rate over 174 plate appearances across 5 seasons.

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