The Morning Card — July 24, 2026

The analyst's record: 51–31–2 since 2026-07-16. Every pick grades in public.

Last night

The analyst went 3–2 for +0.2u last night. Best: Gavin Williams Over 6.5 Ks (-122) cashed with 11. The miss: Michael McGreevy Over 3.5 Ks (finished 3).

Gavin Williams — Over 6.5 Ks (-122): WON
Ian Seymour — Over 4.5 Ks (-128): WON
Chris Sale — Over 6.5 Ks (-162): WON
Troy Melton — Over 5.5 Ks (-104): LOST
Michael McGreevy — Over 3.5 Ks (+142): LOST

Tonight

15 games on the slate — the marquee: Rockies @ Brewers at 2026-07-24T20:10:00.0000000+00:00.

Jake McCarthy has hit safely in 9 straight games and is .367 against lefties this season, making his matchup with lefty Shane Drohan the game's defining duel. Drohan owns a 3.20 ERA and 9.0 K/9 and has regularly worked six-plus innings in recent starts, which matters because his strikeouts can blunt McCarthy's hot bat. The setting favors pitchers — American Family Field plays pitcher-friendly (-5% runs vs average), which could mute a prolonged hitting streak. Milwaukee's 3-0 sweep of the season series, outscoring Colorado 28-12, adds context for why Drohan's strengths could carry extra weight in this matchup.

Watch list

Cubs @ Pirates — Michael Busch has hit safely in 8 straight games. Regression Watch says the run doesn't predict.
Yankees @ Phillies — J.T. Realmuto has hit safely in 8 straight games. Regression Watch says the run doesn't predict.
Diamondbacks @ Nationals — Eduardo Rodriguez has dominated Washington Nationals — .225 BAA with a 32% strikeout rate over 141 plate appearances across 6 seasons.

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