The Morning Card — September 1, 2026

Last night

We finished 5-5 and lost −0.6u; the loss leads — plain and simple. Credit where due: Taj Bradley Over 5.5 Ks @ -156 was our best win (actual 9); our worst miss came on Gage Jump Over 5.5 Ks @ +103 (actual 2).

Ian Seymour — Over 6.5 Ks (+115): WON
Peter Lambert — Over 5.5 Ks (+110): WON
Tanner Gordon — Under 4.5 Ks (-125): WON
Michael King — Over 5.5 Ks (-142): WON
Taj Bradley — Over 5.5 Ks (-156): WON
Kyle Harrison — Over 5.5 Ks (+120): LOST
Bryce Elder — Over 4.5 Ks (+116): LOST
Payton Tolle — Over 6.5 Ks (-153): LOST
Elmer Rodriguez — Under 3.5 Ks (+132): LOST
Gage Jump — Over 5.5 Ks (+103): LOST

Tonight

15 games on the slate — the marquee: Padres @ Reds at 2026-09-01T22:40:00.0000000+00:00.

Nick Lodolo has been especially stingy against San Diego, holding Padres hitters to a .216 BAA and a 29% strikeout rate. That track record matters because his 5.47 ERA across 79.0 innings this year belies some recent inconsistency. Books list the Padres around a -134 moneyline and set the total at 9.5, reflecting how the market is weighing Lodolo’s past success against his shaky 2026 form. Still, Dustin Harris is red-hot, batting .438 over his last 10 games, a flare that complicates Lodolo’s edge.

Watch list

Mets @ Rays — Freddy Peralta has dominated New York Mets — .129 BAA with a 30% strikeout rate over 105 plate appearances across 4 seasons.

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