The Morning Card — September 2, 2026

Last night

The night lost for us, finishing 4-6 and −3.0u; the loss leads and we’ll own it. Credit where it’s due: Freddy Peralta (Over 4.5 Ks, actual 7) was our best win, and Gavin Williams (Under 6.5 Ks, actual 13) was the worst miss.

Freddy Peralta — Over 4.5 Ks (-128): WON
MacKenzie Gore — Under 6.5 Ks (-128): WON
Randy Vasquez — Under 3.5 Ks (-136): WON
Troy Melton — Under 4.5 Ks (-137): WON
Sean Burke — Under 5.5 Ks (-123): LOST
AJ Smith-Shawver — Under 4.5 Ks (-150): LOST
Gavin Williams — Under 6.5 Ks (-150): LOST
Tyler Phillips — Under 3.5 Ks (-139): LOST
Gerrit Cole — Over 6.5 Ks (-102): LOST
Michael McGreevy — Under 3.5 Ks (-132): LOST

Tonight

15 games on the slate — the marquee: Padres @ Reds at 2026-09-02T16:40:00.0000000+00:00.

Casey Mize has been vulnerable — he carries a 6.26 ERA over his last five starts, making his outing the game's central storyline. That fragility is amplified in a warm, hitter-friendly setting at Great American Ball Park, which checks in at 91°F, and Cincinnati has generated offense recently, scoring 26 runs over its last five games. Books list the Padres as about a -144 favorite and the total at 9.5, a market that points to a fairly high-scoring game and therefore hinges on whether Mize can stop the bleeding early. The counterweight: Elly De La Cruz is red-hot at .415 and will see a right-hander, while the Reds send Brandon Williamson (5.40 ERA) to the hill, leaving both lineups with clear chances to capitalize.

Watch list

Yankees @ Angels — Cam Schlittler is dealing (11.8 K/9) and the Los Angeles Angels whiff at a 26% clip — K prop's in play.

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