The Morning Card — September 17, 2026

The analyst's record: 55–50 since 2026-09-01. Every pick grades in public.

Last night

We went 3-4 and finished −1.5u; it was a losing night and that's on us. Our best win was Andrew Abbott Over 3.5 Ks @ +117 (actual 5), and the worst miss came from Anthony Molina Under 3.5 Ks @ -128 (actual 6).

Andrew Abbott — Over 3.5 Ks (+117): WON
Carlos Rodon — Over 4.5 Ks (-148): WON
Nick Martinez — Under 4.5 Ks (-150): WON
Mason Adams — Over 3.5 Ks (-106): LOST
MacKenzie Gore — Over 4.5 Ks (-145): LOST
Anthony Molina — Under 3.5 Ks (-128): LOST
Max Scherzer — Over 4.5 Ks (-128): LOST

Tonight

9 games on the slate — the marquee: Brewers @ Pirates at 2026-09-17T16:35:00.0000000+00:00.

Kyle Harrison brings a 10.9 K/9 this season, which matters against a Pirates group that strikes out at a 26.1% clip versus LHP. Rafael Flores Jr. supplies the primary counterpunch — riding a 10-game hit streak and hitting .279 against lefties — so Harrison won't face only empty zeros. Milwaukee is the moneyline favorite at roughly -132 and the 8.8 total implies a middle-range scoring outlook, a context where swing-and-miss pitching can decide things. PNC Park plays pitcher-friendly (-6%), which amplifies the value of strikeouts, and Pittsburgh’s relievers have logged 11.0 relief innings over the last three days.

Watch list

Phillies @ Mets — Juan Soto has taken Aaron Nola deep 5 times in 68 plate appearances across 8 seasons.

More cards

← September 16, 2026

Sep 17 · Sep 16 · Sep 15 · Sep 14 · Sep 13 · Sep 12 · Sep 11 · Sep 10 · Sep 9 · Sep 8