The Morning Card — September 20, 2026

The analyst's record: 65–57 since 2026-09-01. Every pick grades in public.

Last night

We lost last night, finishing 5-4 and −0.0u. We got plenty of solid Under results — our standout was Casey Mize Under 4.5 Ks @ -123 (actual 2); our worst miss was Jose Soriano Under 5.5 Ks @ -141 (actual 8).

Robert Gasser — Under 5.5 Ks (-110): WON
Reid Detmers — Under 6.5 Ks (-111): WON
Casey Mize — Under 4.5 Ks (-123): WON
Cam Schlittler — Under 6.5 Ks (-146): WON
Freddy Peralta — Over 4.5 Ks (-150): WON
Bubba Chandler — Under 4.5 Ks (-133): LOST
Andrew Painter — Under 4.5 Ks (-131): LOST
Jose Quintana — Over 2.5 Ks (+144): LOST
Jose Soriano — Under 5.5 Ks (-141): LOST

Tonight

15 games on the slate — the marquee: Phillies @ Mets at 2026-09-20T17:10:00.0000000+00:00.

Juan Soto's unusual success against Cristopher Sánchez — a .353 batting average in their matchups — is the night's focal storyline because Sánchez is Philadelphia's season-long workhorse with a 2.94 ERA. The market prices the Phillies as the clear favorite (about -166) and pegs the total at 7.8, implying expectations for a middling-scoring game built around Sánchez eating innings. Yet Sánchez has been uneven recently, surrendering five and six earned runs in two of his last three starts, which makes Soto's track record against him carry extra significance for how this one unfolds.

Watch list

Brewers @ Orioles — Jacob Misiorowski is dealing (12.4 K/9) and the Baltimore Orioles whiff at a 26% clip — K prop's in play.

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