The Morning Card — October 4, 2026

The analyst's record: 82–87 since 2026-09-01. Every pick grades in public.

Last night

We lost, 0-1, −1.0u, as Robbie Ray Over 3.5 Ks @ -148 went down (actual 1). There were no wins to credit; the night's worst miss was Robbie Ray’s one strikeout.

Robbie Ray — Over 3.5 Ks (-148): LOST

Tonight

2 games on the slate — the marquee: Padres @ Brewers at 2026-10-04T20:00:00.0000000+00:00.

This shapes up as a strikeout-tilted duel: Logan Henderson brings a 10.1 K/9 season while Michael King arrives with heavy innings and steady swing-and-miss stuff. American Family Field boosts strikeouts by 5% and suppresses runs by 5%, which should amplify both staffs' whiffs and keep scoring down. That matters because Milwaukee has won six straight and its hitters fan 23.8% of the time vs righties, while San Diego's offense has been scorching in recent days, so watch whether strikeouts or hot bats decide a low-scoring game.

Watch list

Braves @ Dodgers — Mookie Betts is red-hot — batting .351 over his last 10 games (baseline .263).

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