The Morning Card — October 5, 2026

The analyst's record: 82–87 since 2026-09-01. Every pick grades in public.

Last night

No graded picks from last night's slate.

Tonight

2 games on the slate — the marquee: Sox @ Guardians at 2026-10-05T21:00:00.0000000+00:00.

Gavin Williams' swing-and-miss arsenal — he’s averaged 11.9 K/9 this season — runs headlong into a White Sox lineup that whiffs at roughly a 26% clip, making strikeouts the matchup's central theme. Books favor the home side (Guardians -156 on FanDuel) and the 6.5 total signals expectations for a lower-scoring game. Progressive Field suppresses offense (-6% runs versus average), which compounds the problem for a Sox batting order that strikes out at a 25.8% rate against right-handers.

Watch list

Yankees @ Rays — Cody Bellinger owns Freddy Peralta — 6-for-14 (.429) over 18 plate appearances across 6 seasons.

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