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The Morning Card — October 8, 2026

The analyst's record: 82–91 since 2026-09-01. Every pick grades in public.

Last night

We went 0-2 last night for −2.0u, and the loss leads. Max Fried Under 4.5 Ks @ -120 lost (actual 7), and the worst miss was Walker Buehler Over 3.5 Ks @ +113, which lost (actual 0).

Tonight

2 games on the slate — the marquee: Rays @ Yankees at 2026-10-09T00:00:00.0000000+00:00.

Drew Rasmussen has been the defining matchup threat here, holding Yankees hitters to a .175 average while whiffing batters at a 32% clip. That matters because New York’s projected nine carries a 22.4% strikeout rate against righties, and Rasmussen fanned 10 in his most recent outing vs. the Yankees. The counterweight is Carlos Rodón, locked in with a 2.67 ERA across 84.3 innings, so two elite starters set a low-margin tone. Watch Ben Rice’s six-homer tear over his last 10 games as the primary offensive flare into a pairing where strikeouts could decide the game.

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